Saturday, April 7, 2007

Bets, 4/07/2007, Another Good Day

10 Dimes = 2% of the bankroll
Todays Beginning Bankroll = $6,336.97
10 Dimes = $127

50 Dimes on the San Antonio Spurs -10.5 $635 Bet
Why we like it:
Scott Spreitzer's 25* NBA Blowout Game of the Year! *45-21, 68% ATS L66!
My GOY is a play on the Spurs, minus points over Golden State. It ought to be a playoff atmosphere in San Antone on Saturday. The Spurs have given themselves a chance to catch the Suns in the WC standings with their win over Phoenix on Thursday. Obviously, they'll still be interested in this one. The Warriors also have interest as they try to claw their way past the LA Clippers for the final playoff spot in the WC. So, we have the Spurs & Warriors, both playing with a playoff mentality. Guess who has the edge there! We also catch the Warriors in one of their worst situations. GST is 4-16 SU, 7-13 ATS playing in the second of back-to-back nights, allowing 110 PPG. When it's back-to-back nights on the road, GST is 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS, with an average final score of 110-98. They're also 8-27 SU as an away dog, getting outscored, 111-101 in those 35 games. Meanwhile, the Spurs are now on a 21-3 SU, 16-8 ATS run. Since January 26, the Spurs are 13-1 SU, 10-4 ATS as a home fave. When they're laying eight or more at home, the Spurs have covered seven of 10, winning by 14 PPG! San Antone lost the first meeting this season to Golden State, but have won the last two by 40 & 37 points. And yes, Baron Davis started and p Scott Spreitzer's 25* NBA Blowout Game of the Year! *45-21, 68% ATS L66!
My GOY is a play on the Spurs, minus points over Golden State. It ought to be a playoff atmosphere in San Antone on Saturday. The Spurs have given themselves a chance to catch the Suns in the WC standings with their win over Phoenix on Thursday. Obviously, they'll still be interested in this one. The Warriors also have interest as they try to claw their way past the LA Clippers for the final playoff spot in the WC. So, we have the Spurs & Warriors, both playing with a playoff mentality. Guess who has the edge there! We also catch the Warriors in one of their worst situations. GST is 4-16 SU, 7-13 ATS playing in the second of back-to-back nights, allowing 110 PPG. When it's back-to-back nights on the road, GST is 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS, with an average final score of 110-98. They're also 8-27 SU as an away dog, getting outscored, 111-101 in those 35 games. Meanwhile, the Spurs are now on a 21-3 SU, 16-8 ATS run. Since January 26, the Spurs are 13-1 SU, 10-4 ATS as a home fave. When they're laying eight or more at home, the Spurs have covered seven of 10, winning by 14 PPG! San Antone lost the first meeting this season to Golden State, but have won the last two by 40 & 37 points. And yes, Baron Davis started and played in both. It's just a bad matchup for the Warriors, and with San Antone in playoff-mode, we expect a 17-19 points Spurs win. The Spurs are my GOY. Thanks! GL! Scott.layed in both. It's just a bad matchup for the Warriors, and with San Antone in playoff-mode, we expect a 17-19 points Spurs win. The Spurs are my GOY.
20 Dimes on Angels -140 (Lackey listed) Bet $254
20 Dimes on New York Knicks -1 (Psychic Sports NBA Wiseguy Game of the Year) Late Bet $254
10 Dimes on Trachsel Run Line +1.5 Runs -110 Over the Yankees (10:05 am pacific) Late Bet $127
5 Dimes on the Twins +125 (Silva and Vazquez listed) Bet $63
5 Dimes on the Marlins -125 (Willis) Bet $63
5 Dimes on the Rockies +135 (Fogg and Welss listed) Bet $63
5 Dimes on the Seattle Supersonics +9 Bet $63

Total Dimes Bet = 120
Total Bankroll at Risk = $1,522, 24% of the total bankroll

Results so Far:
50 Dimes on the San Antonio Spurs -10.5 Won 50 Dimes $577.25
20 Dimes on Angels Won 20 Dimes $167.85
20 Dimes on Knicks Won 20 Dimes $213.65
10 Dimes on Baltimore Run Line Lost 10 Dimes (ARod grand slam bottom of 9th - ouch)($127)
5 Dimes on the Twins +125 Lost 5 Dimes ($63)
5 Dimes on the Marlins -125 Won 5 Dimes $50.40
5 Dimes on Rockies Lost 5 Dimes ($63)
5 Dimes on the Sonics +9 Won 5 Dimes $57.25
Net Dimes = Win 80 Dimes $813.40
New Bankroll = $7,150.37 (new high)
10 Dimes = $143

Note: Earlier, we listed the Memphis over as a late play. But after finding the line had moved at our local legal casino, we deleted that pick. It would have pushed if we had bought it. Also, we liked Chicago in arena football but did not bet that either as we had a good amount of our bankroll tied up. We post picks without the line, then add the line later after we purchase it. Its to get the information out as early as possible, use your own judgement on line moves and line value. Net Dimes won or lost is meaningless with the baseball line and we do no math conversions. Amount won or lost is whats accurate.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Rick,been following last 2 days,miss your delete on mem(pushed)also missed NYK,I go to work at 3:00 pac time,what time do you post your final picks?I did take port.won,an LAC,lost.Had 2500,but book(local got in trouble).Been hooked up with new service but limit 1000,started on tues.So I need to build,how do you figure out a dime?at 920 now.My e-mail jimgia@comcast.net,you seem like you know some info I need,an if your helping others.If not Ill just keep piggybacking what I can.My tag on ats is Knuckles1,name Jim.Thanks for Saturday!

Blogger said...

anonymous:

I post the late games right up to game time. But the big games ususally get posted early in the morning. I use dime units, 5 dimes are 1 percent of the bankroll, 10 dimes are 2% of the bankroll. This is a long term effort to build up the bankroll, without getting hurt in one day. I usually have all the late bets posted by 3 pm Good luck!

Blogger said...

annonymous:

We did not have the clippers. We did not like that bet, seems everyone had it though. We took some rough breaks on the Baltimore game, did not expect Arod to get a grand slam in the bottom of the ninth. But we won our big games, which is crucial in building the bankroll

Anonymous said...

I forgot to mention I also missed NYY game,Im a bartender so Sometimes I miss some early games.

Anonymous said...

Also missed all the post on LAC,would have stayed away!