Our Saturday Play of the Day is UConn +4.5 at home against South Florida. UConn Wins Outright! UConn 22 South Florida 15.Our Picks For Saturday
Record: Play of the Day Record after the UConn win is now 15-30-3
How are we coming up with picks? Our handicapping notes. Everything we tried failed except the Play of the Day, which is our best play. A litany of failure:
Play of the Day 1-0
DCI Hockey - 2-3
Jorge Gonzalez - 0-1
Home underdog with less than 30% public on it - 3-5
wagerline MLB experts 0-2
Northcoast early bird play 0-1
Northcoast Five Star 0-1
Sebastian 100 unit 0-1
5 home hockey teams - From Daniel Curry Sports Index Pro Hockey site:
We went 2-3 in hockey today.
Season: 49-34 (.590)
San Jose vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BOSTON 3, Philadelphia 2 LOST
Ottawa 3, NEW JERSEY 2 LOST
Carolina vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Toronto 2 LOST
Montreal vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Buffalo vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NASHVILLE 3, Florida 2 WON
Atlanta vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ST. LOUIS 3, Washington 2 WON
Dallas vs. PHOENIX: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Edmonton vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
1 Football Game - FAU -6, Pick from Jorge Gonzalez, 7-1 in newspaper handicapping contest, from the local paper, LOST, Record now 7-2, :
Jorge Gonzalez gives out a pick in the Reno Gazette-Journal every Thursday. We posted his writeup the last two weeks as he was on a run. That run ended last week. He is now 7-1, which for this college football season is very decent.
Here is his writeup:
After Week 8, the gap narrows; Manos picks WAC game
LAS VEGAS
FAU -6
Louisiana-Monroe at Florida Atlantic, Saturday at 1 p.m. (pacific time) LOST, Record now 7-2
The Florida Atlantic Owls will look to keep a perfect record in the Sun Belt Conference when they take on the War Hawks of La.-Monroe.
The Owls are 3-0 in conference play, winning by an average of 10 points per game. At home, FAU has covered the spread in all three games, including a win over Minnesota.
The Owls are led by the charismatic head coach Howard Schnellenberger, who is known for taking distraught programs into the national spotlight. He was responsible for transforming a dismal Miami Hurricane program in 1979 to a national-championship team in just four seasons.
He then took the Louisville program in 1985 that had been perennial losers for a period of six years to a national ranking of No. 11 in 1995. In 1998, Schnellenberger started a program from scratch at FAU, and now the Owls are on the verge of a conference championship and bowl game appearance.
The Owls are led by one of the best unknown quarterbacks in the country in sophomore Rusty Smith. He has thrown for 16 touchdowns and just three interceptions. FAU is a perfect 6-0 against the spread when it scores 28 or more points, over the last three seasons.
At home, Smith is guiding the Owls to 32 points a game and will be facing a War Hawk defense that is surrendering 39.5 points a game on the road.
Defensively, the Owls are led by freshman defensive back Tavious Polo, who leads the country with seven interceptions. As a team, FAU leads the country with a +18 in turnover margin, taking the ball away an amazing 25 times. Senior linebacker Cecil Sincere also leads the conference with 70 tackles. If the Owls get an early lead, LA-Monroe will be playing right into the hands of the Owls' ball-hawk defense.
Jorge Gonzalez
Listen to Gonzalez, "The Leader in Sports Handicapping," on the Good Sports Radio Show on 720 AM, Saturday and Sunday form midnight-2 a.m. (Google KDWN Las Vegas AM Radio for the internet streaming audio)
Standings Week 8
Jorge Gonzalez: 7-1
James Manos: 5-2-1
Lee Sterling: 4-3-1
Casino Sports books: 4-4-0
8 Home Underdog Football Games With Under 30% of the public money on them, From Tim Donaghy posted at an ATS Board, System Goes 3-5 today:
UCON***** +4.5 15% OF PUBLIC MONEY **** UCONN WINS OUTRIGHT
KENT +2.5 27% LOST
IOWA +3 25% WON
NC STATE +4 28% WON
CSU**** +5.5 27% LOST
ARK STATE +5 19% LOST
N. TEXAS +12.5 19% LOST
RUTGERS +6 30% LOST
****INDICATES A GAME WHERE THE LINE HAS MOVED DOWN, IN SPITE OF OVER 70% OF THE MONEY ON THE FAVORITE
The "*****" next to the UCON selection signifies a rare betting opportunity.
In this case, even though 85% of the cash is on USF, the line has actually gone down- from USF -5.5 to USF -4.5. How could this happen? Weren't we always told that Vegas simply moves the lines to achieve "equal" balance of money on each side? Here, Vegas is basically saying: we will take all of the USF money that comes our way. We will actually place USF "on sale," if you will. Obviously, Vegas is right a hell of alot more than they are wrong. I think I'll be on Vegas' side any chance I get. Watch all of the "square" money come rolling in on USF.
Fading the public "system" plays are a play on a home dog with less than 30% of the public money. These plays are are now 19-9 ATS. Last week in college football, it went 10-0. This week in football i went 3-5.
2 Bets in MLB, Underdog Rockies at home and the under. From: wagerline.com expert opinions
Rockies and Under both LOST
1 Bet in College Football, The Northcoast Sports early bird play of the week is on Louisville -10 1/2. This play has a 7-1 record this year. LOST, RECORD NOW 7-2
1 Bet in College Football, Seabastian's 100 unit top bet, his Play of the Week is Penn State. He likes Texas A&M too. Penn State LOST
1 Bet in College Football, Northcoast Sports 5 star play today is on Texas A&M, Texas LOST
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