Monday, September 1, 2008

10-0 Run, Its Got to End Soon, The Bulldogs +4 Visiting the Scarlet Knights Wins Easily 24-7 as Our Monday Play of the Day

Take the Fresno State Bulldogs +4 on the road over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights as the Monday play of the day, 1:00 PM Pacific. Good luck!
After going 10-1 last week, we are due for a loss.....If you have doubled your money, take the original stake off the table. Bet a percentage of your bankroll going forward so that if you win your bets go up and if you lose your bets go down. Play every play the same. A good pick is a good pick. Bet between 5% and 20% of your bankroll, if you have already doubled and taken the original stake off the table, bet 20%. You can never give it all back betting a percentage of a bankroll and you limit your total downside risk, to an amount of money you can afford to lose. Limit your picks to one or at most two a day. Treat each play the same, always betting 20% of the bankroll. When you win, your bets go up. When you lose your bets go down. Never, never chase your bets. Never do parlays, stay away from run lines on favorites in baseball. Shop around. Find a good handicapper and stick with them. Bet early. You take charge of the money management, don't allow your handicapper to get you in a hole. That is why the dime system of 5-100 is so dangerous. The capper could start with a 10 dimer, then 20 dimer, then 40 dimer and 80 dimer after each bet loses. Three bets chasing. If you treat each pick the same, you will avoid this trap. Stu Feiner in the 2008 NBA Finals doubled his bet after each consecutive loss by the Lakers. After the final game was over, Stu's clients would of lost 7,850,000 dimes if they followed his advice.

Results: Fresno State 24, Rutgers 7. Easy win - if your capper had Rutgers tonight, word to the wise, get another handicapper.

Matchup Trends Experts

Handicapping Notes: We hope to increase our run to 10-0 today. Once again we prove that free handicappers are as good as the ones that charge money. And it makes sense too. We don't have to market our product, do administration work, handle credit cards, make videos and talk on the phone. We can concentrate on the handicapping. We can give the picks out early in the morning or the previous day so you can bet at your leisure and get the maximum line value. We are under no pressure to even give out a game every day if we don't like the card. We can pass a day. And why not, no on is paying us. We actually have time to watch the games.
If you are truly a good handicapper, you don't need to charge for your picks. Your time is too valuable to be running a handicapping service, you can make more money betting. Some cappers are good at handicapping but terrible at money management. Some cappers give out too many games. They give out 8-10 games a weekend and don't even cover the vig. Then you ask them what there two top games were and they won them both. Betting 20% of the bankroll on Saturday on their top game and 20% on Sunday on their top game and winning just two games in a row your bankroll is up a powerful 39.5% (-110 bets). Hell Basher and I did it this last weekend. And its much easier for the clients, one bet a day and not all those losing tickets in the wallet for them to see to remind them of your handicapping acumen. But why bother, no one listens. Its human nature. Nothing new in the world. We all have to make the same stupid mistakes. Most of the touts don't give a shit about the customer or their bankroll. Its why I went after the Basher for chasing. Giving up all those weeks of precious profits. After going 9-1 last week he makes up only a third of his losses from the week before. Its absurd. No wonder he took down his weekly record, I would be embarrassed to show how many weeks I gave back and its deceptive for him to have done that. And he is one of the more ethical cappers, at least he gets monitored. He will need another 9-1 week just to see the light at the top of the hole he is in. He is smart, he will learn from his mistake. As for us, after this run ends, we are not even going to talk about our record. We will let our free sports monitor do that. He had a glitch with the three college plays going into last years stats this last week, mistakes will happen. But who cares, we still bet the games and made money. We are going to concentrate on the picks and money management going forward. If you are a paid handicapper, feel free to use our picks. They are free. And we are going to prove we are as good as any paid handicapper out there over the long run. We are willing to put up $10,000 and challenge anyone over a 3 month period. But we will get no takers. And to hear a capper brag about how good he is gets boring fast. I want to talk about the picks and why I like them, and demonstrate successful money management. I want to take them by the hand and lead them into the Winners Circle. I want to make sure they are risking what they can afford to lose. I want them to take their original money off the table after we have a double. This week we would of already had that and be working off the houses money. In one week. You can be the greatest handicapper in the world and still lose money for your clients, if you don't understand risk and money management. Hey, you got a link we will gladly post it. I go nine games in a row and no one will post my link. The sports handicapping business is not in it for the customer. Thats why no on makes any real money at it. The money management and risk management I have seen is criminal. Hype and deception is rampant, its disgusting. I go to send an email to Basher to congratulate him on his great week, I couldn't even send it without giving him a phone number. Its all about the sales. Call some of these guys sometimes. Act like a weak, confused, desperate gambler. Sammy has. See what happens. Its rotten to the core and you know it. We were going to write a report about sales tactics, its so bad we did not know where to start. Drop by sometime, we will have a beer or two and watch some games on the big screens. We can have the casino comp us to some deli sandwiches and smartly saunter or stagger over to the the Winners Circle to cash our ticket.

Overheard last night at World Headquarters:
"Sammy, Dave just sent us an email and he says he loves Fresno State.....Hey we are the WAC experts.....but I never seen him so excited about a game...well he should be, Fresno State is gonna surprise a lot of people tomorrow....update our info Sammy....if there are no problems lets release it before the line moves....9-0....yeah Sammy, I know....we are on a 9-0 run....5-0 in college, yeah.....sh*t....Bookie Basher...he is 9-0 too...5-0 in college too...dam....I told you he was going to take the Buffalos....he probably is gonna take Fresno State too......we got to beat this guy Sammy, dam it...we can't let him get ahead of us.....lets buy the Basher's $500 package tomorrow, just in case we go cold, might be cheap insurance.....hell we got the money now....I think its good for the rest of the year.....but tell him he has to stay in Jersey...he has been lucky there....give Bookie an extra $50 and have him send us some saltwater taffy....I love that stuff.... hey I did not know Dave was an expert in the WAC, the guy is full of surprises, he has the right side in the Fresno State game for sure.....thanks ParlayHelp.com for posting our link on their site....Only the decent and affable John Werner and Football Jesus have posted our link Sammy......We can see why Jesus would and was surprised John kept ours up that long.....his customers must of been howling as we have been winning day after day....we went 10-1 last week....remember our sports monitor deleted those 3 college picks (sc, troy and rice when they used the wrong dates to close out last years football selections)....we beat all his cappers on his site for last week Sammy....and I guess all the folks we have links too don't have software to do links.....its all about making money Sammy....and they have no clue."

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